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CHI @ SEA — Parlay Analysis
- •Caleb Williams (CHI) — under 224.5 Pass Yards (whole game)
- •Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) — over 29.5 Longest Rec (whole game)
- •Luther Burden III (CHI) — under 52.5 Rec Yards (whole game)
- •Sam Darnold (SEA) — under 20 Pass Comp (whole game)
Caleb Williams - Under 224.5 Pass Yards
Williams has 1,020 passing yards on 124 attempts across four starts, a 255-yard average supported by an efficient 8.2 yards per attempt, so the line is below his current per-start baseline. The matchup, however, is the strongest reason to back the under: Seattle has allowed only 144.4 passing yards per game, 5.2 yards per pass and 8.3 yards per completion while generating a 7.39% sack rate. Chicago also runs on... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Moderate-High
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Over 29.5 Longest Rec
Smith-Njigba enters with 58 receptions for 867 yards, a 14.9-yard average, an 82-yard season long and 78 targets through seven starts. A 29.5-yard longest-catch threshold requires one explosive connection rather than sustained reception volume, and Chicago has conceded 8.7 yards per pass and 13.4 yards per completion—both notably vulnerable marks. Seattle's offense averages 7.6 yards per pass, while Smith-Njigba's dominant target role gives him multiple opportunities to create or receive... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Moderate-High
Luther Burden III - Under 52.5 Rec Yards
Burden's current baseline works against this selection: he has 35 receptions for 491 yards, averaging 70.1 yards per game and 14.0 yards per catch through seven games. His recent production is even more concerning for the under, with 95 yards against Atlanta followed by 130 yards against New England, and he has cleared 52.5 in five of seven games. Seattle is an exceptionally difficult passing matchup, allowing 144.4 passing yards... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Low-Moderate
Sam Darnold - Under 20 Pass Comp
Darnold has completed 110 of 177 attempts in six starts, producing an average of 18.3 completions on 29.5 attempts with a 62.1% completion rate. Chicago allows opponents only 27.7 pass attempts per game, and its defense has a strong 8.92% sack rate, both of which support a game landing below 20 completions. Seattle also runs the ball at a meaningful 45.98% rate, and its status as the home favorite creates... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Moderate
The two Chicago unders are positively correlated with Seattle's strong pass defense, but they duplicate the same defensive thesis and can both be damaged by a negative Chicago game script that creates heavy second-half passing volume. Read more...
The strongest leg is Caleb Williams under 224.5 passing yards because Seattle's defense has suppressed both passing volume and efficiency, allowing only 144.4 yards per game through the air and 5.2 yards per pass. Smith-Njigba over 29.5 on his longest reception is also defensible against a Chicago defense that has allowed explosive Read more...
Parlay outlook
A quick read on the full slip
The analysis's overall assessment of these 4 legs, including correlation and uncertainty. This is not a guaranteed outcome.
Statr is AI and can make mistakes. This signal reflects the available data. Outcomes can vary. Bet at your own risk.
Parlay Analysis
Identify the strongest legs, biggest risks, and potential weak points in your parlay.
CHI @ SEA — Parlay Analysis
- •Caleb Williams (CHI) — under 224.5 Pass Yards (whole game)
- •Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) — over 29.5 Longest Rec (whole game)
- •Luther Burden III (CHI) — under 52.5 Rec Yards (whole game)
- •Sam Darnold (SEA) — under 20 Pass Comp (whole game)
Caleb Williams - Under 224.5 Pass Yards
Williams has 1,020 passing yards on 124 attempts across four starts, a 255-yard average supported by an efficient 8.2 yards per attempt, so the line is below his current per-start baseline. The matchup, however, is the strongest reason to back the under: Seattle has allowed only 144.4 passing yards per game, 5.2 yards per pass and 8.3 yards per completion while generating a 7.39% sack rate. Chicago also runs on... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Moderate-High
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Over 29.5 Longest Rec
Smith-Njigba enters with 58 receptions for 867 yards, a 14.9-yard average, an 82-yard season long and 78 targets through seven starts. A 29.5-yard longest-catch threshold requires one explosive connection rather than sustained reception volume, and Chicago has conceded 8.7 yards per pass and 13.4 yards per completion—both notably vulnerable marks. Seattle's offense averages 7.6 yards per pass, while Smith-Njigba's dominant target role gives him multiple opportunities to create or receive... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Moderate-High
Luther Burden III - Under 52.5 Rec Yards
Burden's current baseline works against this selection: he has 35 receptions for 491 yards, averaging 70.1 yards per game and 14.0 yards per catch through seven games. His recent production is even more concerning for the under, with 95 yards against Atlanta followed by 130 yards against New England, and he has cleared 52.5 in five of seven games. Seattle is an exceptionally difficult passing matchup, allowing 144.4 passing yards... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Low-Moderate
Sam Darnold - Under 20 Pass Comp
Darnold has completed 110 of 177 attempts in six starts, producing an average of 18.3 completions on 29.5 attempts with a 62.1% completion rate. Chicago allows opponents only 27.7 pass attempts per game, and its defense has a strong 8.92% sack rate, both of which support a game landing below 20 completions. Seattle also runs the ball at a meaningful 45.98% rate, and its status as the home favorite creates... Read more...
Leg Confidence: Moderate
The two Chicago unders are positively correlated with Seattle's strong pass defense, but they duplicate the same defensive thesis and can both be damaged by a negative Chicago game script that creates heavy second-half passing volume. Read more...
The strongest leg is Caleb Williams under 224.5 passing yards because Seattle's defense has suppressed both passing volume and efficiency, allowing only 144.4 yards per game through the air and 5.2 yards per pass. Smith-Njigba over 29.5 on his longest reception is also defensible against a Chicago defense that has allowed explosive Read more...
Parlay outlook
A quick read on the full slip
The analysis's overall assessment of these 4 legs, including correlation and uncertainty. This is not a guaranteed outcome.
Statr is AI and can make mistakes. This signal reflects the available data. Outcomes can vary. Bet at your own risk.
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"Jacob and Andrew are building something really amazing with Statr. I am definitely not a professional sports bettor but I do feel like it when I use Statr."
"I used to just throw parlays together and hope for the best. Now I can actually see which legs make sense and which ones might be risky."
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"I don't need an app to tell me what to bet. I need something that helps me understand what I'm betting on. That's why I like Statr."
"It's like having a sharp bettor looking over your shoulder. I love how it points how risks and breaks down everything in a very simple way."
"I don't place a bet without running it through Statr first. The plain English breakdowns are a game changer, I'm not staring at spreadsheets trying to make sense of the numbers I found online"
"Jacob and Andrew are building something really amazing with Statr. I am definitely not a professional sports bettor but I do feel like it when I use Statr."
"I used to just throw parlays together and hope for the best. Now I can actually see which legs make sense and which ones might be risky."
"Instead of jumping between five different websites to research a game, I can get everything broken down in one place."
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"What used to take me 20 minutes of looking through stats now feels a whole lot simpler."
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